Snow in NYC on Wednesday? These 5 cards detail the accumulation possibilities.

STATEN ISLAND, NY – After a pair of days that saw record high temperatures in New York City, Staten Island is expecting snowfall on Wednesday as forecasts predict the borough could see some accumulation.

Staten Island falls well below the areas expected to receive the heaviest snowfall in the winter system, according to the National Weather Service’s probabilistic predictive snowfall models, which are used to supplement the agency’s forecasts and put in place highlights the uncertainties in weather events.

The latest forecast shows parts of New York City expected to receive about six-tenths of an inch of snowfall, with neighboring Newark, NJ, seeing only slightly lower totals.

Graphic from the National Weather Service.

There’s about a 10 percent chance Staten Island will see between one and two inches of snow, the National Weather Service predicts.

In this scenario, Newark and parts of Manhattan get about two inches of snowfall while areas farther east see about an inch, according to the agency’s forecast.

Snow Wednesday?  These 5 cards detail the accumulation possibilities.

Graphic from the National Weather Service.

While a heavy accumulation is unlikely, the National Weather Service says there’s about a 50 percent chance the borough will see at least a tenth of an inch of snow.

However, this percentage chance dips further east and could change depending on the final trajectory of the system.

Snow Wednesday?  These 5 cards detail the accumulation possibilities.

Graphic from the National Weather Service.

Rising to higher totals, it becomes much less likely that Staten Island will hit the one-inch mark from Wednesday’s storm, according to the National Weather Service.

Newark has about a 31% chance of hitting that total; however, John F. Kennedy International Airport in Queens only has a 12% chance, according to the agency’s predictive map.

Snow Wednesday?  These 5 cards detail the accumulation possibilities.

Graphic from the National Weather Service.

The chance of two inches or more of snow is nearly invisible, the National Weather Service predicts.

Certain portions of the Island on the East Shore have no chance of reaching this amount, while the rest of the borough is likely to fall below 10%.

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